China has become the world’s second-largest economy and biggest trading nation. Much of its success has stemmed from friendly relations with the United States, where Republican and Democratic administrations alike saw the rise of a stable, prosperous China as serving the national interest.
But things have changed. In the U.S., a Trump administration is likely to be less friendly. And in China, challenges are multiplying. The country is in a long-run growth slowdown, while trying to shift to a consumer-based economy and manage a rapidly aging population. Will China continue its rise towards superpower status, or fall victim to financial crisis? And will the U.S. and China find a modus vivendi in Asia, or start a new cold war?
Arthur R. Kroeber, one of the world’s leading commentators on the Chinese economy and author of the recent book China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know (Oxford, 2016), will provide insight into these crucial questions. He is managing director of GaveKal Dragonomics, an independent global economic research firm, and has worked for 15 years as a financial journalist and economic analyst in China, Taiwan and India, writing for Foreign Policy, Economist, Far Eastern Economic Review, Fortune and Wired. He is a contributor to the opinion pages of Financial Times, Wall Street Journal and Washington Post.